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	<title>The Geiger Index &#187; Japan</title>
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	<description>The Geiger Index is a &#34;black box&#34; system based on non-linear models. Editor Keith Fitz-Gerald has spent over 10 years refining some very remarkable algorithms… Now he&#039;s put these into a program that monitors the markets. His Geiger Index can predict with a very high degree of accuracy where the market will be trading within the next 30, 60 or even 90 days.</description>
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		<title>Godzilla-Sized Meals Could Lead to &#8220;Super-Sized&#8221; Profits</title>
		<link>http://www.geigerindex.com/archives/godzilla-sized-meals-could-lead-to-super-sized-profits/</link>
		<comments>http://www.geigerindex.com/archives/godzilla-sized-meals-could-lead-to-super-sized-profits/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Jun 2008 22:01:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Keith Fitz-Gerald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Japan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Keith Fitz-Gerald]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Main Essay]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/06/26/godzilla-sized-meals-could-lead-to-super-sized-profits/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[By Keith Fitz-Gerald Investment Director Money Morning/The Money Map Report Japanese companies and local governments must now measure the waistlines of all employees and family members over the age of 40. According to this new health-care initiative &#8211; which started this week &#8211; men whose girth exceeds 33.5 inches and women whose waistlines exceed 35.5 [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>By Keith Fitz-Gerald</strong><strong><br />
      <strong>Investment Director</strong><br />
      <strong>Money Morning/The Money Map Report</strong></strong></p>
<p>Japanese  companies and local governments must now measure the waistlines of all  employees and family members over the age of 40.</p>
<p>According to  this new health-care initiative &#8211; which started this week &#8211; men whose girth  exceeds 33.5 inches and women whose waistlines exceed 35.5 inches are  considered overweight.</p>
<p>The new  guidelines affect nearly 56 million people, or roughly 44% of Japan&#8217;s total  population. They&#8217;re based on studies done by the International Diabetes  Federation in 2005, which looked at size and weight thresholds and used them to  identify health risks.</p>
<p>Individuals who  fail to meet these standards won&#8217;t be penalized or have to pay up personally.  But their employers will &#8211; in the form of penalty payments and higher  health-care premiums for every additional inch &#8211; thanks to this new waistline  law that&#8217;s aimed at slimming down this island superpower.</p>
<p>As reported on <strong><em>CNN</em></strong>, <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=TYO%3A6701">NEC Corp.</a> alone  faces $19 million in such penalties. Other companies find themselves in a  similar spot and could potentially owe hundreds of millions of dollars in  punitive health-care fines.</p>
<p>Naturally, the  law is controversial, with many believing that it&#8217;s at the very least  unnecessary &#8211; and perhaps even represents an intrusion on a person&#8217;s individual  liberties. However, others think it&#8217;s a very timely initiative, as well as one  that&#8217;s badly needed.</p>
<p>Either way, the  Ministry of Health aims to achieve its goal of reducing the Japanese overweight  population by 10% in the next four years and an enviable 25% during the next  seven years. It also intends to dramatically reduce national health-care costs  at the same time.</p>
<p>The reason?</p>
<p>&quot;Big&quot; people  have never populated the nation &#8211; but the people are getting bigger.</p>
<p>Since World War  II, the average Japanese citizen has gained between three and six inches in  height, 20 pounds in weight and, evidently, a bit too much around the waist.  While the root causes are subject to debate, much of it comes down to more  advanced medicine, changes in lifestyle and, to be perfectly blunt, and the  introduction of Western foods including &#8211; you guessed it &#8211; fast food.</p>
<p>For years in  Japan&#8217;s company cafeterias &#8211; long the domain of harried salary men eating  quickly in order to get back their desks &#8211; a typical Japanese meal consisted of  fish, pickles, some rice, and perhaps green tea, a accounts for between 600 and  800 calories. But Western alternatives &#8211; a McDonald&#8217;s Corp. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=mcd&#038;hl=en">MCD</a>) hamburger  meal, for example &#8211; can tip the scale at nearly 1,400 calories. </p>
<p>My personal  favorites includes the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Godzilla">Godzilla</a>-sized  &quot;Mega Macs,&quot; which weigh in at 754 calories and contain a staggering 45.9 grams  of fat, and the &quot;Mega Teriyaki&quot; which, thanks to its sweet lemon sauce and  sugary teriyaki sauce, muscles up at 903 calories and 64.3 grams of fat all by  itself! </p>
<p>(And I&#8217;m being  sincere in labeling these as &quot;personal favorites&quot; &#8211; because they&#8217;re really  tasty &#8211; even though I can practically feel my arteries clogging up as I eat  them.)</p>
<p>While I&#8217;m not a  social scientist, nor do I pretend to have any special analytical powers, I  have spent long stretches in this region during each of the past 20 years,  meaning I&#8217;ve got plenty of anecdotal evidence that seems to support the data.</p>
<p>For instance,  many younger Japanese are taller than they were in the past. When I first  started going there in the late 1980s, I towered over most of my Japanese  counterparts. Now we stand eyeball to eyeball. My wife, who at 5&#8217;6&quot; was  regarded as tall when she was growing up, is now average height.</p>
<p>In general,  Japanese kids are also bigger, which is painfully evident &#8211; literally &#8211; as  modern-day children try to cram themselves into school desks designed and  installed in schools across that nation generations ago. Many actually have to  duck when entering and exiting buildings with ceilings and doorways that are  now too &quot;low.&quot; Still others can&#8217;t sleep comfortably on traditional <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tatami">tatami</a> mats, which were the  measuring standard for hundreds of years, because the mats are now too short.</p>
<p>With change,  however, comes opportunity.</p>
<p>Companies that  design, manufacture and sell comprehensive obesity-management programs &#8211; not  just games, or such one-off items as pedometers, scales and the like -stand to  make out big.</p>
<p>One such firm is  Konami Corp. (ADR: <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AKNM">KNM</a>),  which we twice rode to profits (once 49.91% and then 39.31%) earlier this year  in our sister publication, <strong><em>The</em></strong> <strong><em>Money Map Report</em></strong>.  While most people know Konami as a video-game maker, the company actually  operates a string of health-care clubs and is at the center of Japan&#8217;s new  &quot;healthy&quot; movement. </p>
<p>Showing some  real forward thinking, Konami has been able to market some of its leading  games, like <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dance_Dance_Revolution">Dance  Dance Revolution</a>, as physical-education programs and medical devices. And  those products are now being adopted worldwide by frazzled physical education  teachers who find themselves faced with unmotivated, overweight kids. The  problem is particularly acute here in America, where as many as 17% of our  children are now obese, according to various studies. </p>
<p>Not only do such  games offer an alternative to traditional exercises, but they&#8217;re also approved  medical devices. And that means that school systems can introduce them &#8211; and  count on insurance companies footing some, or all, of the bill.</p>
<p>Nintendo Co.  Ltd.&#8217;s (OTC ADR: <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=OTC%3ANTDOY">NTDOY</a>)  Wii is taking the same approach. With its <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wii_fit">Wii Fit</a> programs, the company  appears ready to duke it out in what may well be a newly emerging class of  entertainment &#8211; video-weight-management programs.</p>
<p>In China, where  Yum! Brands Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AYUM">YUM</a>)  has more than 3,000 restaurants &#8211; and where its KFC outlets are the dining  venue of choice for many middle class Chinese consumers &#8211; we expect a similar  onset of obesity. In fact, during my most recent trip there, I observed bigger  Chinese in general than I&#8217;ve ever seen before. </p>
<p>Weight  management is clearly becoming an issue there, too. And mark my words: Obesity  will be an ultra-sensitive topic for the Chinese, who have long regarded  fatness as a sign of prosperity, wealth and good fortune.</p>
<p>But that neither  diminishes its potential impact nor the opportunity when it comes to profiting  from the fight against obesity.</p>
<p>While it&#8217;s too  early to predict choices there, our best guess is that companies like  online-game developer Perfect World Co. Ltd. (ADR: <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ%3APWRD">PWRD</a>) will adapt  the single-player concept to reflect the Chinese predisposition toward massive  multiplayer online adaptations. As a result, it will introduce new games that  haven&#8217;t even been contemplated, yet.</p>
<p><strong><u>News and  Related Story Links:</u></strong></p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Wikipedia:</strong> <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dance_Dance_Revolution"><br />
  Dance Dance  Revolution</a><strong></strong><strong>&nbsp;</strong></li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><strong>Wikipedia: </strong><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wii_fit"><br />
  Wii Fit</a><strong></strong></li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><strong>Money  Morning:</strong><br />
  <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/06/25/chinese-name-changes-mean-more-than-just-learning-whats-for-dinner/">Chinese  Name Changes Mean More Than Just Learning What&#8217;s for Dinner</a><strong></strong></li>
</ul>
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		<title>Japan Makes Way for China Tourist Money</title>
		<link>http://www.geigerindex.com/archives/japan-china-tourist-money/</link>
		<comments>http://www.geigerindex.com/archives/japan-china-tourist-money/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Jun 2008 22:00:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Keith Fitz-Gerald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Japan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Keith Fitz-Gerald]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Main Essay]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/06/05/japan-makes-way-for-china-tourist-money-2/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[By Keith Fitz-Gerald Investment Director Money Morning/The Money Map Report From my vantage point on my recent visit to both China and Japan, the signs are clear. China is coming. And Japan knows it. Major department stores like Takashimaya Co. Ltd., Sogo Co. Ltd. and Mitsukoshi Ltd. are gearing up. In places like Tokyo, Osaka [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><body></p>
<h3><strong>By Keith Fitz-Gerald</strong><br />
  <strong>Investment  Director</strong><br />
<strong>Money  Morning/The Money Map Report</strong> </h3>
<p>From my vantage  point on my recent visit to both China and Japan, the signs are clear.</p>
<p>China is coming.  And Japan knows it.</p>
<p>Major department  stores like <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=716753">Takashimaya  Co. Ltd.</a>, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sogo">Sogo Co. Ltd.</a> and <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=1912870">Mitsukoshi Ltd.</a> are  gearing up. In places like Tokyo, Osaka and Kyoto, they&#8217;re seeing a new wave of  power shoppers at their counters &#8211; the Chinese.</p>
<p>A few short  years ago, this was unthinkable. </p>
<p>Yet, as my wife  and I strolled through downtown Kyoto, we saw it too. Most major department  stores have added Chinese signage to the usual Japanese and English placards.</p>
<p>We heard it, as  well, from Chinese shoppers who were tromping through the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shij%C5%8D_Kawaramachi">Shijo-Kawaramachi</a> shopping district loaded down with bags sporting the latest designer logos.  It&#8217;s much the same in Tokyo&#8217;s uber-rich <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ginza">Ginza</a> district as well where  Mitsukoshi has recently hired store-based interpreters fluent in Mandarin.</p>
<p>I can&#8217;t say I&#8217;m  surprised. </p>
<p>According to the  Japanese Department of Tourism, a record high of nearly a million Chinese  tourists came to Japan last year. China&#8217;s Ministry of Public Security estimates  that 34.5 million Chinese headed for foreign destinations in 2006 &#8211; up from a  mere 4.5 million a year earlier. By 2011 that figure is expected to top 80  million with Hong Kong, Macau, Vietnam, South Korea and Japan predicted to  account for 85% of all Chinese tourist destinations according to <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=288104">Euromonitor International</a>.</p>
<p>And they&#8217;re  spending big bucks, too. </p>
<p>CNN reporter,  Kyung Lah, interviewed one group of mainland Chinese tourists recently that had  spent $50,000 dollars on clothing and makeup alone on a 3-day trip. Not  surprisingly, most of that was on designer brands from <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=9745173">Prada Group</a>, Gucci  Group NV (PINK: <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=PINK%3AGUCG">GUCG</a>), <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=EPA%3ACDI">Christian Dior SA</a>,  and Shiseido Co. Ltd. (OTC: <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=OTC:SSDOY">SSDOY</a>). </p>
<p>Which jibes with  my personal experience as indicated by Chinese and Japanese I&#8217;ve spoke with  over the years. Whereas most of them used to only dream about traveling, an  increasing number are actually doing it. My good friend <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/05/07/the-view-from-china-the-freedom-to-change-also-means-theres-a-freedom-to-fail/">Jun  Hao</a> and his wife have hit most of Europe&#8217;s major cities and a good deal of  the United States, too.</p>
<p>Getting back to  Japan, however, it may surprise you to learn that most Chinese feel very  comfortable there. A fact that stands in stark contrast to how relations  between the Japanese and Chinese are often portrayed in the Western media. </p>
<p><b>Story continues below&#8230;</b></p>
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<p>It&#8217;s now a  common sight in Tokyo to see Chinese who are shopped out make a beeline for  Toyota Motor Corp.&#8217;s (ADR: <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ATM">TM</a>) showrooms.  Obviously, they&#8217;re not buying Toyota&#8217;s in Japan, <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/06/04/gm-tries-to-reverse-course-but-can-it-catch-toyota/">but  boy are they anxious to buy Toyota&#8217;s in China</a>. </p>
<p>And a visit to  the showroom is just what the doctor ordered for young, cosmopolitan Chinese  yuppies&#8230; or &#8220;Chuppies&#8221; as they&#8217;re called.</p>
<p>Not only do they  feel more international for having done so, but Chinese tourists tell me they  find Japan quite welcoming. And warm, which is another <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/05/27/lost-in-translation-the-subtle-dealings-between-china-and-japan-can-lead-to-powerful-profits/">one  of those words than can be translated a variety of ways</a>.</p>
<p>Not one citizen  of China or Japan that I&#8217;ve recently spoken with believes that the political  past between their respective countries would prevent an economic future. </p>
<p>Investors  looking to capitalize on the blossoming relations between the two countries and  the tourism trade specifically need to look no further than Japanese department  stores, Chinese credit card companies and, ironically, Toyota to get in on the  action.</p>
<p>Of course, there  are obvious choices when it comes to computerized travel providers and airlines. </p>
<p>But the value  there may be harder to extract given there&#8217;s not a clear value proposition and  the industry remains largely fragmented&#8230; for now. And that&#8217;s part of what makes <strong><em>Money Morning&#8217;s</em></strong> growth &#8220;because&#8221; of China &#8211; and Japan &#8211; investing  strategy the way to go for now.</p>
<p><strong><u>News and  Related Story Links:</u></strong></p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Money  Morning:<br />
  </strong><a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/05/27/lost-in-translation-the-subtle-dealings-between-china-and-japan-can-lead-to-powerful-profits/">Lost  In Translation: The Subtle Dealings Between China and Japan Can Lead to  Powerful Profits</a></li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><strong>Money Morning Investment Travelogue</strong>:<br />
  <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/05/07/the-view-from-china-the-freedom-to-change-also-means-theres-a-freedom-to-fail/">The  View From China: The Freedom to Change Also Means There&#8217;s a Freedom To Fail</a></li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><strong>Money  Morning:<br />
  </strong><a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/06/04/gm-tries-to-reverse-course-but-can-it-catch-toyota/">GM  Tries to Reverse Course, but Can it Catch Toyota?</a><strong></strong></li>
</ul>
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		<title>Lost In Translation: The Subtle Dealings Between China and Japan Can Lead to Powerful Profits</title>
		<link>http://www.geigerindex.com/archives/lost-in-translation-the-subtle-dealings-between-china-and-japan-can-lead-to-powerful-profits/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 27 May 2008 11:34:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Keith Fitz-Gerald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Japan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Keith Fitz-Gerald]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Main Essay]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[By Keith Fitz-Gerald Investment Director Money Morning/The Money Map Report There&#8217;s an incredible story taking place in Asia. Based on my 20 years of experience in the region and formal academic study, you can believe me when I say that this may well be the most pivotal event in 20 centuries of Sino-Japanese relations. We&#8217;ve [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>By Keith Fitz-Gerald<br />
  Investment  Director</strong><br />
    <strong>Money  Morning/The Money Map Report</strong> </p>
<p>There&#8217;s an  incredible story taking place in Asia.</p>
<p>Based on my 20  years of experience in the region and formal academic study, you can believe me  when I say that this may well be the most pivotal event in 20 centuries of <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sino-Japanese_relations">Sino-Japanese  relations</a>.</p>
<p>We&#8217;ve <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/05/16/two-ways-to-profit-as-china-and-japan-quietly-forge-the-most-powerful-trading-alliance-in-the-world/">reported  some of this to you</a> already. But the mainstream Western press hasn&#8217;t  latched on to it.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s not to  say they haven&#8217;t reported what happened when Japanese Prime Minister <a href="http://www.sanfranciscosentinel.com/?p=5312">Yauo Fukuda</a> hosted  Chinese President <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hu_Jintao">Hu Jintao</a> during the historic summit the two held in Tokyo last month &#8211; the press  reported everything that &quot;happened,&quot; and did so exceptionally well.</p>
<p>However, like so  many things in Asia, mainstream journalists completely missed the subtleties  and, not surprisingly, that&#8217;s where the real story usually is.</p>
<p>But you&#8217;ve got  to know how to read between the lines to get at the &quot;real&quot; meaning of what was  said.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s why.</p>
<p>When translating  both Chinese and Japanese to English, there are both literal and figurative  translations to consider. Frequently, inexperienced commentators (and even  experienced ones) will provide one without the other. </p>
<p>And that&#8217;s too  bad, because it&#8217;s the context that&#8217;s &quot;everything&quot; in Asia &#8211; and I mean that  literally.</p>
<p>Unlike Western  romance languages &#8211; which descended from the resconstructible  Proto-Indo-European language family, and which are logically oriented &#8211; Chinese  languages are commonly believed to have descended from the Proto-Sino-Tibetan  family while Japanese is understood to have come from a context-driven <a href="http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p_mla_apa_research_citation/0/1/2/2/8/p12288_index.html">lexical  borrowing</a> process in the region.</p>
<p>As a result,  Western languages are frequently blunt and to the point, while both the  Japanese and Chinese languages historically rely heavily on context and  symbolism: In other words, the &quot;real&quot; meaning is not the words, but is instead  found in the symbolism associated with those words. </p>
<p>And that&#8217;s not  exactly something you can explain in a 10-second <strong><em>CNN</em></strong> <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soundbite">sound bite</a>, so most news  stations don&#8217;t bother.</p>
<p>For instance,  during their historic five-day Summit last month in Japan, Prime Minister  Fukuda and China President Hu agreed to make 2008 a year for boosting their nation&#8217;s  &quot;mutually beneficial relationship.&quot; </p>
<p>I was <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/05/14/japans-lost-decade-has-given-way-to-the-new-asian-reality-but-only-if-you-know-where-to-look/">sitting  in Kyoto when I heard that</a>, and I was stunned. I&#8217;ve spent two decades  studying, living in and working in Asia, and in all that time I couldn&#8217;t recall  any of the prior leaders of the two countries ever sharing a more-direct,  more-powerful statement.&nbsp; And neither could  the Chinese and Japanese I spoke with that day because the words represents the  single most important thaw yet verbalized in the decades old animosity dating  back to World War II. </p>
<p>While most  Westerners expected them to &quot;settle affairs&quot; by making some reference to  historical events that have badly strained bi-lateral relations in recent  years, both leaders deliberately avoided doing anything like that during their  five-day meeting. And, by doing so, each side was able to state his case to the  other&#8217;s countrymen without &quot;<a href="http://www.shaolintiger.com/2004/12/29/the-asian-concept-of-face/">losing  face</a>,&quot; which is pivotally important to both countries and cultures.</p>
<p>Similarly,  President Hu&#8217;s remarks that he&#8217;s looking forward to a &quot;warm spring&quot; between the  two countries were translated quite literally by the Western media, although  the comment had an entirely different meaning to Asians. To Asians, the comment  is symptomatic of far deeper, and more intimate, nationalist feelings on a  variety of personal and state levels.</p>
<p>By stating his  desire for a &quot;warm spring,&quot; President Hu was making an allegorical reference to  the importance of producing a bountiful rice harvest. And the reason why this  makes sense to Asians is that rice has been pivotally important to both  cultures for a millennium or more. That crop has enabled both cultures to make  the transition from hunter-gathers to farmer, and it is also central to  religious and social festivals in both countries, as it has been for thousands  of years.</p>
<p>By referencing  rice farming, President Hu was very deliberately reaching deep down into the  core of both nations and sending an important message to millions of Japanese  and Chinese citizens that China is ready to put the past to rest and look to  the future.</p>
<p>In a more  Western fashion, the two leaders also agreed that &quot;long-term cooperation for  peace and friendship&quot; is the &quot;only choice left&quot; for both countries.&nbsp; This, too, is full of hidden meaning: It&#8217;s an  unprecedented signal that both nations are preparing to (finally) put the  horrific events &#8211; and the long-lingering bad feelings &#8211; of WWII behind them.</p>
<p>By putting this  rancor to rest, each country will now be free to make major investments in the  other&#8217;s economy &#8211; much more so than they&#8217;re doing even now.</p>
<p>If history is  any guide, then some of the most significant Sino-Japanese trends of the future  are likely to begin at the intersections of companies just now starting to  flourish. </p>
<p>Of course, there  will be course corrections along the way, but that didn&#8217;t hurt relations 20  centuries ago when Japan and China were very close &#8211; and those corrections  won&#8217;t hurt them, now.</p>
<p>The important  thing is to embrace change as it occurs. </p>
<p>For investors,  one of the biggest profit opportunities will be with companies that are helping  China build out its infrastructure and build up its consumer sector, which is  why such companies as solar-ceramics maker Kyocera Corp. (ADR: <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AKYO">KYO</a>), and trading  giant and independent power plant developer Mitsui &amp; Co. Ltd. (ADR: <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ%3AMITSY">MITSY</a>), are  logical choices.</p>
<p>In addition to  seeing Japanese companies like these focusing their sights on the China market,  we&#8217;re likely to see Chinese companies doing the same with Japan. While it&#8217;s not  yet clear who those companies will be, it is clear to us that the initial  entr&eacute;e will likely be from one or more of China&#8217;s <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/02/18/outlook-2008-three-ways-to-profit-from-sovereign-wealth-funds-the-next-wall-street/">sovereign  wealth funds</a>.</p>
<p>Our best guess  is that China investors will prefer key targets like those traded on the Tokyo  Stock Exchange &#8211; especially companies that have an expertise in environmental  protection and energy-saving technologies.</p>
<p>We also think  China will make a run at construction companies with experience in large-scale  infrastructure and national-building projects &#8211; all of which are in  exceptionally high demand in China.</p>
<p>[<strong><u>Editor's  Note</u>: </strong>For additional China profit plays, check out this special <em><strong>Money  Morning </strong></em><em>offer </em>that  includes a free copy of <strong><a href="http://www.oxfonline.com/MMR/ROG0108mm.html?pub=MMR&#038;code=WMMRJ404">investing  guru Jim Rogers' new bestseller</a></strong>, &quot;<strong><a href="http://www.oxfonline.com/MMR/ROG0108mm.html?pub=MMR&#038;code=WMMRJ404">A  Bull in China</a></strong>.&quot; The book details Rogers' investment outlook for  China plus his opinion on dozens of China-based public companies.] </p>
<p><strong><u>News and  Related Story Links</u></strong><u>:</u></p>
<ul type="disc">
<li><strong>Money Morning Economic Analysis</strong>: <br />
  <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/05/16/two-ways-to-profit-as-china-and-japan-quietly-forge-the-most-powerful-trading-alliance-in-the-world/">Two  Ways to Profit as China and Japan Quietly Forge the Most Powerful Trading  Alliance in the World</a>.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li><strong>Wikipedia</strong>: <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hu_Jintao"><br />
  Hu Jintao</a>.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li><strong>Wikipedia</strong>: <a href="http://www.sanfranciscosentinel.com/?p=5312"><br />
  Yauo Fukuda</a>.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li><strong>All Academic Research</strong>: <br />
  <a href="http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p_mla_apa_research_citation/0/1/2/2/8/p12288_index.html">Lexical  Borrowing in the Chinese Context: Examples from two English Newspapers in China</a>.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li><strong>Money Morning Economic Commentary</strong>: <br />
  <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/05/14/japans-lost-decade-has-given-way-to-the-new-asian-reality-but-only-if-you-know-where-to-look/">Japan&#8217;s  &quot;Lost Decade&quot; Has Given Way to the New Asian Reality &#8211; But Only if you Know  Where to Look</a>.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li><strong>Shaolin       Tiger:</strong> <a href="http://www.shaolintiger.com/2004/12/29/the-asian-concept-of-face/"><br />
  The       Asian Concept of &#8216;Face</a>.&#8217;</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li><strong>Money       Morning Economic Forecasting Series: </strong><a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/02/18/outlook-2008-three-ways-to-profit-from-sovereign-wealth-funds-the-next-wall-street/"><br />
    Outlook 2008: Three Ways to Profit From Sovereign Wealth Funds &#8211; the       &quot;Next Wall Street.&quot;</a> </li>
</ul>
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		<title>Japan&#8217;s &#8220;Lost Decade&#8221; Has Given Way to the New Asian Reality &#8211; But Only if you Know Where to Look</title>
		<link>http://www.geigerindex.com/archives/japans-lost-decade-has-given-way-to-the-new-asian-reality-but-only-if-you-know-where-to-look/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 14 May 2008 00:05:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Keith Fitz-Gerald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Japan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Keith Fitz-Gerald]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Main Essay]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/05/14/japans-lost-decade-has-given-way-to-the-new-asian-reality-but-only-if-you-know-where-to-look/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[By Keith Fitz-Gerald Investment Director Money Morning/The Money Map Report KYOTO, JAPAN &#8211; On one of my first mornings at our home here, my family and I headed for the Fushimi Inari Taisha shrine. Built in the 8th century by the powerful Hata family, the shrine is best known for the four consecutive kilometers of [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>By Keith Fitz-Gerald</strong><br />
    <strong>Investment Director</strong><br />
    <strong>Money Morning/The Money Map Report</strong></p>
<p><strong>KYOTO, JAPAN</strong> &#8211; On one of my first mornings at our  home here, my family and I headed for the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fushimi_Inari-taisha">Fushimi Inari Taisha</a> shrine. Built in the 8th century by the powerful Hata family, the shrine is  best known for the four consecutive kilometers of orange <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Torii">Torii</a> gates covering the mountain  on which it was built.</p>
<p>My wife&#8217;s family has been coming here for centuries, making  it a familiar and comfortable place that we enjoy very much.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s also a spot that tends to put things into perspective &#8211;  like the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bank_of_Japan">Bank of Japan</a>&#8216;s  recent decision to keep its key interest rate at 0.5%.</p>
<p>So why is this move by <a href="http://www.boj.or.jp/en/">Japan&#8217;s  central bank</a> important? That&#8217;s easy.</p>
<p>We&#8217;ve been hearing for years how the Japanese economy is  poised for a recovery. And each New Year is supposed to be &quot;the&quot; year &#8211; yet it  just somehow never seems to happen &#8211; at least according to folks who don&#8217;t  spend as much time here as I do.</p>
<p>Sure Japan went to hell and back during the &quot;Lost Decade&quot;  that stretched from 1990 &#8211; 2000, but this country&#8217;s economy is recovering &#8211;  even if the securities markets don&#8217;t yet reflect this: They&#8217;re up only  marginally so far this year.</p>
<p>But that speaks volumes about what investors should expect  when thinking about Japan. For instance, the beautiful young elevator ladies  who used to grace Japan&#8217;s top department stores have vanished. Yet, individual  customer service remains better than ever. </p>
<p>Many of the so-called boutique shops have also faded into  the sunset. But those shops have been replaced by multi-sale retailers and  Internet shops, all of which are going great guns.</p>
<p>This suggests companies are becoming more cash sensitive  even as they&#8217;re becoming more aggressive. So are Japanese consumers. It&#8217;s a  trend that&#8217;s moving Japan along quietly, if steadily.</p>
<p>But what&#8217;s really interesting to me after having spent 20  years in and out of Japan is the number of students who now are studying  Chinese, as well as English.</p>
<p>Like the Japanese companies and consumers that are driving  the &quot;stealth recovery&quot; here, students who want to get ahead are doing all they  can to learn more about their neighbor, including the language.</p>
<p>They understand that they have to look beyond the labels  that say &quot;Made in China,&quot; and consider the growing Chinese consumer  class &#8211; especially China&#8217;s emerging middle class, which is already 325 million  strong.</p>
<p>While some experts claim that the two nations, Japan and  China, will never be friends because of World War II era animosity, those with  a far longer perspective acknowledge that the two actually were very close &#8211;  centuries ago. Much of Japan&#8217;s writing system, religious roots and even early  architecture came directly from China&#8217;s royal courts more than 1000 years ago.</p>
<p>The two nations will be close again.</p>
<p>The best way investors can capitalize on this eventuality is  not to buy the broader Japanese indices. Those will merely pick up the  has-beens, wannabes and never-wases. It&#8217;s far better to concentrate on those  companies that are already working closely with China.</p>
<p>The companies in this category firmly understand the  regional dynamics at play today. But, more importantly, they understand just  what the future is going to look like, and are already preparing for business  dealings with China &#8211; and the Chinese consumer.</p>
<p>Some great choices if you want to cash in include  solar-ceramics maker Kyocera Corp. (ADR: <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AKYO">KYO</a>), trading giant  and independent power plant developer Mitsui &amp; Co. Ltd. (ADR: <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ%3AMITSY">MITSY</a>), and even  Toyota Motor Co. (ADR: <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=tm">TM</a>),  which is now the world&#8217;s No. 1 automaker, and (as <strong><em>Money Morning</em></strong> just reported) also <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/05/12/mitsubishi-and-toyota-to-lead-japanese-dream-team-into-a-global-dogfight-for-a-new-regional-jetliner/">has  branched out into commercial jetliners</a>.</p>
<p><b>Story continues below&#8230;</b></p>
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<p>Since I&#8217;m scheduled to head back down the mountain shortly,  I&#8217;m going to close this out (yes, for those of you who are wondering, I really  am writing on my laptop thousands of feet above Kyoto) so that I can check in  on the summit between Chinese President <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hu_Jintao">Hu Jintao</a> and Japanese Prime  Minister <a href="http://www.sanfranciscosentinel.com/?p=5312">Yauo Fukuda</a>. </p>
<p>It&#8217;s the first visit by a Chinese head of state in a decade.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ll have more to say about that visit in the days to come.  And I&#8217;ll be returning to the United States fairly soon, too. I&#8217;ll keep you  posted.</p>
<p><u><strong>News and Related Story Links:</strong></u></p>
<ul type="disc">
<li><strong>Wikipedia</strong>: <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bank_of_Japan"><br />
  Bank of Japan</a>.</p>
</li>
<li><a href="http://www.boj.or.jp/en/">Bank of Japan</a>: <br />
  Home Page.</p>
</li>
<li><strong>Money       Morning Special Report</strong>: <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/05/12/mitsubishi-and-toyota-to-lead-japanese-dream-team-into-a-global-dogfight-for-a-new-regional-jetliner/"><br />
  Mitsubishi       and Toyota to Lead Japanese Dream Team into a Global Dogfight for a New       Regional Jetliner</a>.</p>
</li>
<li><strong>Wikipedia</strong>:       <br />
  China President <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hu_Jintao">Hu Jintao</a>.</p>
</li>
<li><strong>San       Francisco Chronicle</strong>: <br />
  Japanese Prime Minister <a href="http://www.sanfranciscosentinel.com/?p=5312">Yauo Fukuda</a>.</li>
</ul>
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		<title>Japan Makes Way for China Tourist Money</title>
		<link>http://www.geigerindex.com/archives/japan-makes-way-for-china-tourist-money/</link>
		<comments>http://www.geigerindex.com/archives/japan-makes-way-for-china-tourist-money/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 04 May 2008 22:00:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Keith Fitz-Gerald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Japan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Keith Fitz-Gerald]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Main Essay]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[By Keith Fitz-Gerald Investment Director Money Morning/The Money Map Report From my vantage point on my recent visit to both China and Japan, the signs are clear. China is coming. And Japan knows it. Major department stores like Takashimaya Co. Ltd., Sogo Co. Ltd. and Mitsukoshi Ltd. are gearing up. In places like Tokyo, Osaka [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><body></p>
<h3><strong>By Keith Fitz-Gerald</strong><br />
  <strong>Investment  Director</strong><br />
<strong>Money  Morning/The Money Map Report</strong> </h3>
<p>From my vantage  point on my recent visit to both China and Japan, the signs are clear.</p>
<p>China is coming.  And Japan knows it.</p>
<p>Major department  stores like <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=716753">Takashimaya  Co. Ltd.</a>, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sogo">Sogo Co. Ltd.</a> and <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=1912870">Mitsukoshi Ltd.</a> are  gearing up. In places like Tokyo, Osaka and Kyoto, they&#8217;re seeing a new wave of  power shoppers at their counters &#8211; the Chinese.</p>
<p>A few short  years ago, this was unthinkable. </p>
<p>Yet, as my wife  and I strolled through downtown Kyoto, we saw it too. Most major department  stores have added Chinese signage to the usual Japanese and English placards.</p>
<p>We heard it, as  well, from Chinese shoppers who were tromping through the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shij%C5%8D_Kawaramachi">Shijo-Kawaramachi</a> shopping district loaded down with bags sporting the latest designer logos.  It&#8217;s much the same in Tokyo&#8217;s uber-rich <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ginza">Ginza</a> district as well where  Mitsukoshi has recently hired store-based interpreters fluent in Mandarin.</p>
<p>I can&#8217;t say I&#8217;m  surprised. </p>
<p>According to the  Japanese Department of Tourism, a record high of nearly a million Chinese  tourists came to Japan last year. China&#8217;s Ministry of Public Security estimates  that 34.5 million Chinese headed for foreign destinations in 2006 &#8211; up from a  mere 4.5 million a year earlier. By 2011 that figure is expected to top 80  million with Hong Kong, Macau, Vietnam, South Korea and Japan predicted to  account for 85% of all Chinese tourist destinations according to <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=288104">Euromonitor International</a>.</p>
<p>And they&#8217;re  spending big bucks, too. </p>
<p>CNN reporter,  Kyung Lah, interviewed one group of mainland Chinese tourists recently that had  spent $50,000 dollars on clothing and makeup alone on a 3-day trip. Not  surprisingly, most of that was on designer brands from <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=9745173">Prada Group</a>, Gucci  Group NV (PINK: <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=PINK%3AGUCG">GUCG</a>), <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=EPA%3ACDI">Christian Dior SA</a>,  and Shiseido Co. Ltd. (OTC: <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=OTC:SSDOY">SSDOY</a>). </p>
<p>Which jibes with  my personal experience as indicated by Chinese and Japanese I&#8217;ve spoke with  over the years. Whereas most of them used to only dream about traveling, an  increasing number are actually doing it. My good friend <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/05/07/the-view-from-china-the-freedom-to-change-also-means-theres-a-freedom-to-fail/">Jun  Hao</a> and his wife have hit most of Europe&#8217;s major cities and a good deal of  the United States, too.</p>
<p>Getting back to  Japan, however, it may surprise you to learn that most Chinese feel very  comfortable there. A fact that stands in stark contrast to how relations  between the Japanese and Chinese are often portrayed in the Western media. </p>
<p><b>Story continues below&#8230;</b></p>
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<p>It&#8217;s now a  common sight in Tokyo to see Chinese who are shopped out make a beeline for  Toyota Motor Corp.&#8217;s (ADR: <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ATM">TM</a>) showrooms.  Obviously, they&#8217;re not buying Toyota&#8217;s in Japan, <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/06/04/gm-tries-to-reverse-course-but-can-it-catch-toyota/">but  boy are they anxious to buy Toyota&#8217;s in China</a>. </p>
<p>And a visit to  the showroom is just what the doctor ordered for young, cosmopolitan Chinese  yuppies&#8230; or &#8220;Chuppies&#8221; as they&#8217;re called.</p>
<p>Not only do they  feel more international for having done so, but Chinese tourists tell me they  find Japan quite welcoming. And warm, which is another <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/05/27/lost-in-translation-the-subtle-dealings-between-china-and-japan-can-lead-to-powerful-profits/">one  of those words than can be translated a variety of ways</a>.</p>
<p>Not one citizen  of China or Japan that I&#8217;ve recently spoken with believes that the political  past between their respective countries would prevent an economic future. </p>
<p>Investors  looking to capitalize on the blossoming relations between the two countries and  the tourism trade specifically need to look no further than Japanese department  stores, Chinese credit card companies and, ironically, Toyota to get in on the  action.</p>
<p>Of course, there  are obvious choices when it comes to computerized travel providers and airlines. </p>
<p>But the value  there may be harder to extract given there&#8217;s not a clear value proposition and  the industry remains largely fragmented&#8230; for now. And that&#8217;s part of what makes <strong><em>Money Morning&#8217;s</em></strong> growth &#8220;because&#8221; of China &#8211; and Japan &#8211; investing  strategy the way to go for now.</p>
<p><strong><u>News and  Related Story Links:</u></strong></p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Money  Morning:<br />
  </strong><a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/05/27/lost-in-translation-the-subtle-dealings-between-china-and-japan-can-lead-to-powerful-profits/">Lost  In Translation: The Subtle Dealings Between China and Japan Can Lead to  Powerful Profits</a></li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><strong>Money Morning Investment Travelogue</strong>:<br />
  <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/05/07/the-view-from-china-the-freedom-to-change-also-means-theres-a-freedom-to-fail/">The  View From China: The Freedom to Change Also Means There&#8217;s a Freedom To Fail</a></li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><strong>Money  Morning:<br />
  </strong><a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/06/04/gm-tries-to-reverse-course-but-can-it-catch-toyota/">GM  Tries to Reverse Course, but Can it Catch Toyota?</a><strong></strong></li>
</ul>
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