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	<title>The Geiger Index &#187; Layoffs</title>
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	<description>The Geiger Index is a &#34;black box&#34; system based on non-linear models. Editor Keith Fitz-Gerald has spent over 10 years refining some very remarkable algorithms… Now he&#039;s put these into a program that monitors the markets. His Geiger Index can predict with a very high degree of accuracy where the market will be trading within the next 30, 60 or even 90 days.</description>
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		<title>Shareholders 1, Subprimes 0: Ailing Countrywide Gets &#8220;Countryfried&#8221; for Expensive Ski Junket</title>
		<link>http://www.geigerindex.com/archives/shareholders-1-subprimes-0-ailing-countrywide-gets-countryfried-for-expensive-ski-junket/</link>
		<comments>http://www.geigerindex.com/archives/shareholders-1-subprimes-0-ailing-countrywide-gets-countryfried-for-expensive-ski-junket/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Feb 2008 12:44:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Keith Fitz-Gerald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Global Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Keith Fitz-Gerald]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Layoffs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Main Essay]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SubPrime]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/02/27/shareholders-1-subprimes-0-ailing-countrywide-gets-countryfried-for-expensive-ski-junket/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[By Keith Fitz-Gerald Investment Director Money Morning/The Money Map Report I don&#8217;t know whether to be furious or relieved. While at our Oxford Club Chapter Meeting in Colorado Springs last week, I happened to learn that Countrywide Financial Corp. (CFC) was planning to host several dozen mortgage company reps at the nearby Ritz-Carlton Bachelor Gulch [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>By Keith  Fitz-Gerald<br />
  Investment  Director<br />
  Money Morning/The Money Map Report</strong></p>
<p>I don&#8217;t know  whether to be furious or relieved.</p>
<p>While at our <a href="http://www.oxfonline.com/OXF/Members/mem1007.html?pub=OXF&#038;code=EOXFJ105">Oxford  Club</a> Chapter Meeting in Colorado Springs last week, I happened to learn  that Countrywide Financial Corp. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=cfc">CFC</a>) was planning to host  several dozen mortgage company reps at the nearby Ritz-Carlton Bachelor Gulch  ski area in Avon. </p>
<p>Unfortunately,  public disclosure by <strong><em>The Wall Street Journal</em></strong> and other papers  ruined their plans and the Calabasas, Calif.-based Countrywide cancelled at the  last minute.</p>
<p>Countrywide  claims to have cancelled all similar events, too, for the rest of the year &quot;in  light of recent events.&quot; </p>
<p>It&#8217;s for the  best &#8211; believe me &#8211; for &quot;swank&quot; doesn&#8217;t begin to describe just how nice the  Avon Ritz really is. For starters, weekday rooms there start at $750 a night.</p>
<p>As reported in  the <strong><em>Rocky Mountain News</em></strong>, the multi-day soiree was set to start  with cocktails and ski-fittings. Attendees were then to be feted at <a href="http://www.toprestaurants.com/la/Spago.htm">Spago</a> on such delicacies  as $105 a plate <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kobe_beef">Kobe beef</a> and $140 <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Caviar">caviar</a>, before  enjoying a multi-day fiesta including hotel rooms, meals, skiing and gratuities  &#8211; all of which was to be paid for by Countrywide and all of which is in line  with annual industry &quot;meetings&quot; they&#8217;ve held since the 1990s.</p>
<p>Silly me &#8230; I  thought the industry was in the dumper and that the company was struggling  after taking $1.6 billon in losses during the second half of 2007.</p>
<p>Evidently things  at Countrywide are a lot &quot;richer&quot; than most people think &#8211; and why shouldn&#8217;t  they be?</p>
<p>If you recall,  we suggested months ago that the real reason Bank of America Corp. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ABAC">BAC</a>) is buying  Countrywide has nothing to do with the hundreds of millions of dollars worth of  yearly loan-servicing revenue. Nor does it have anything to do with  Countrywide&#8217;s dominant market share.</p>
<p>Instead, we posited  that BofA was going to use Countrywide&#8217;s losses to offset its own taxable  income. </p>
<p>Turns out we may  have been &quot;righter&quot; than we care to admit.</p>
<p>  Under  the terms of the deal announced in January, <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/01/13/bank-of-america-will-buy-countrywide-for-4-billion-in-stock/">Bank  of America agreed to pay $4 billion in its own stock for Countrywide</a> &#8211;  slightly less than $8 a share. Proponents viewed the takeover bid as a  much-needed rescue mission for Countrywide, which many believed to be out of  cash at the time.</p>
<p>  Just  before the offer, Countrywide had seen its stock price plunge about 85% &#8211; a  decline that steepened in the days immediately before Bank of America launched  its bid.<br />
  Critics  say the buyout offer was a bit on the rich side &#8211; especially after BofA Chief Executive Officer <a href="http://money.cnn.com/news/newsfeeds/articles/newstex/AFX-0013-23278933.htm">Kenneth  D. Lewis</a> had already <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2007/08/24/countrywide-ceo-still-gloomy-after-2-billion-capital-infusion/">injected  about $2 billion into Countrywide to help prop it up last summer</a> as the  subprime mortgage crisis started to spiral out of control.</p>
<p>  With  mortgage defaults escalating, Countrywide was forced to boost its loan-loss  provisions, leading to a loss of $1.2 billion in the 2007 third quarter and  $422 million in the fourth quarter.<br />
  According  to tax experts like Robert Willens, who was quoted in <strong><em>Fortune</em></strong> magazine at the time, the deal could be worth billions to BofA by the time all  is said and done. In fact, in the first five years it owns Countrywide, BofA  will be able to use a total of $1.35 billion of Countrywide&#8217;s losses to shelter  its income. That works out, incidentally, to $270 million a year.<br />
But here&#8217;s the  kicker. </p>
<p>If Countrywide&#8217;s  losses exceed $1.35 billion when the transaction ultimately closes [it's  supposed to be finalized in the third quarter, as the two companies continue to  work out the details], Bank of America could deduct the rest of the losses  without limits beginning in year six. </p>
<p>What a country  &#8230;run up billions of dollars in losses, hand your executives hundreds of  millions in compensation, nearly wreck an entire industry single-handedly,  spend millions on boondoggles&#8230;and qualify for an IRS sanctioned tax break at  the same time!</p>
<p>Where do I sign  up?</p>
<p>Wait&#8230;I already  did. My wife and I got our mortgage through Countrywide. At least we haven&#8217;t  been &quot;countryfried&quot; &#8211; yet.</p>
<p>Maybe that&#8217;s why  shares of Countrywide rose a penny each after the ski trip was cancelled&#8230;to  $6.96.</p>
<p><strong><u>News and  Related Story Links</u></strong><u>:</u></p>
<ul type="disc">
<li><strong>CNNMoney.com</strong>: <br />
  <a href="http://money.cnn.com/news/newsfeeds/articles/newstex/AFX-0013-23278933.htm">Countrywide  Cancels Ski Trip Meeting</a>.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li><strong>Money Morning News</strong>: <br />
  <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/01/13/bank-of-america-will-buy-countrywide-for-4-billion-in-stock/">Bank  of America Will Buy Countrywide for $4 Billion in Stock</a>.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li><strong>Money Morning News</strong>: <br />
  <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2007/08/24/countrywide-ceo-still-gloomy-after-2-billion-capital-infusion/">Countrywide  CEO Still Gloomy After $2 Billion Capital Infusion</a>.</li>
</ul>
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